Disappointing GDP Growth and Rising Inflation Spark Risk Sentiment U-Turn
Posted 25 April 2024Risk sentiment took a sharp downturn following the release of US Q1 GDP data, which revealed weaker-than-expected economic growth alongside an acceleration in both headline and core PCE price indexes. This combination suggests that the US economy may be caught in a challenging cycle where high interest rates are dampening economic activity without effectively curbing […]
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Yen Weakens Further as Market Eyes Possible 160 Mark, Dollar Awaits Key GDP Data
Posted 25 April 2024Japanese Yen’s accelerated decline captured significant attention in Asian session, while the broader currency markets remained generally stable. Market participants interpret the apparent lack of urgency from Japanese officials to address Yen’s fall as a tacit approval for its continued depreciation. This perspective gains significance following the recent trilateral meeting between Japan, South Korea, and […]
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Dollar Gains Following Durable Goods Data, Canadian Drops on Retail Sales Miss
Posted 24 April 2024Dollar is making a modest recovery in early US session, supported by slightly better-than-expected durable goods orders and recovery in benchmark Treasury yields. However, the overarching direction of the greenback for the near term remains uncertain, largely dependent on shifting risk sentiments. Current stock futures are showing mixed opening, leaving investors watching closely to see […]
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Aussie Propelled by CPI, Has Stock Market Correction Ended?
Posted 24 April 2024Australian Dollar is having a robust, broad-based rally today, boosted by unexpectedly strong CPI data. This inflation report is particularly notable given the unexpected reacceleration in monthly CPI in March, which contributed to the quarterly figure not slowing as much as anticipated. Meanwhile, both services and domestic inflation remain elevated. The set of data is […]
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Crude Oil Prices Retrace Some Losses Despite US Demand Doubts
Posted 25 April 2024US crude inventories fell, but much of this was down to oil exports rather than strong local demand.
US Q1 GDP Misses Forecasts, PCE Beats Estimates, US Dollar Moves Higher
Posted 25 April 2024The US economy expanded by 1.6% q/q in the first three months of the year, missing estimates of 2.5% and down from 3.4% in Q4 2023. US dollar firms after PCE figures nudge higher.
Yield Curve Inversion and its Economic Implications
Posted 25 April 2024Yield curve inversion has historically been associated with economic slowdowns and recessions in the US.
USD/JPY Breaches ‘Line in the Sand’ Ahead of BoJ Meeting
Posted 25 April 2024The yen continues to depreciate, adding pressure to Japanese authorities to respond. Will recent wage growth and yen weakness bring the inflation target within reach?
Euro Outlook – EUR/USD and EUR/GBP Technical Analysis and Sentiment Latest
Posted 24 April 2024The Euro has been buffeted over the last few sessions against the US dollar, while EUR/GBP has jumped on recent Sterling weakness.
AUD Rises as Aussie Inflation Exceeds Expectations, Erasing Rate Cut Hopes
Posted 24 April 2024Australian inflation dropped at a slower pace than anticipated, wiping out any lingering indication of rate cuts this year. Improved risk sentiment supports AUD
Japanese Yen Lower Again, USDJPY Market Weighs Intervention Chances
Posted 24 April 2024With the Yen at multi-decade lows, and commentary out of Tokyo suggesting enough is nearly enough, this is not a market to look away from now.
Risk Sentiment Remains Positive: Gold, VIX, Tesla Latest Outlooks
Posted 24 April 2024Financial markets remain risk-on as positive sentiment continues to push prices higher.